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Red71
882127.4
882413.2
908234.0
Blue57
96742.2
944520.5
426013.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90974060801201407157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+20Teleop
+8Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +23
10Coral scored#7
37Coral points24
0Processor algae#1
4Net algae#0
0Processor points6
16Net points0
16Algae points6
53Total teleop30
Reef
6L4#3
2L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
8Foul points2
71Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9082
#13
34.01.2
35.033.8
Auto5.2
Teleop26.3
End2.5
blue by 8.3
967
#20
42.22.0
43.941.9
Auto6.3
Teleop25.7
End10.2
Second
8821
#26
27.41.2
27.926.6
Auto4.0
Teleop22.1
End1.4
red by 6.9
9445
#28
20.52.0
24.222.2
Auto2.2
Teleop13.2
End5.1
Third
8824
#49
13.22.1
18.716.7
Auto3.7
Teleop7.7
End1.8
blue by 0.1
4260
#51
13.33.4
17.414.0
Auto1.6
Teleop11.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsMissed23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed69%Barge oddsEarned