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Red54
877018.3
178533.9
327524.9
Blue103
462444.1
957922.6
1047618.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9482406010012014016054103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+41
Endgame+43
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +34
9Coral scored#13
33Coral points45
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#5
6Processor points12
4Net points20
10Algae points32
43Total teleop77
Reef
3L4#6
3L3#4
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points6
54Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1785
#24
33.91.8
30.929.1
Auto3.7
Teleop25.2
End5.0
blue by 10.1
4624
#18
44.11.4
42.443.8
Auto8.0
Teleop34.5
End1.6
Second
3275
#42
24.91.8
28.326.6
Auto3.8
Teleop17.9
End3.2
red by 2.3
9579
#43
22.62.3
16.919.2
Auto3.6
Teleop17.9
End1.1
Third
8770
#38
18.33.0
21.418.5
Auto3.5
Teleop15.2
End-0.4
red by 0.2
18.12.3
17.219.5
Auto3.2
Teleop15.0
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed