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Red101
591431.5
955132.0
495924.4
Blue107
485924.4
64827.1
642027.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91106406080100120140160101107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+50Teleop
+30Endgame
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave9
2Coral scored#1
11Coral points4
20Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +43
14Coral scored#7
51Coral points24
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
12Processor points0
12Net points8
24Algae points8
75Total teleop32
Reef
8L4#4
4L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points36
101Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9551
#29
32.01.2
26.627.8
Auto6.3
Teleop23.6
End2.1
red by 4.3
6420
#10
27.61.5
30.829.4
Auto4.7
Teleop15.3
End7.6
Second
5914
#48
31.51.2
25.126.4
Auto6.3
Teleop22.3
End3.0
red by 4.4
648
#25
27.11.5
28.326.8
Auto5.4
Teleop15.2
End6.5
Third
4959
#30
24.41.2
25.726.9
Auto3.9
Teleop17.0
End3.4
Level
4859
#39
24.42.4
27.825.4
Auto4.0
Teleop18.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsEarned