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Red136
372320.3
392849.4
402121.1
Blue195
464657.5
754143.5
544239.3
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9014250100200136195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+37
Endgame+47
Fouls+59
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave6
3Coral scored#6
17Coral points31
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +23
14Coral scored#22
49Coral points80
4Processor algae#2
6Net algae#7
24Processor points12
24Net points28
48Algae points40
97Total teleop120
Reef
5L4#7
5L3#11
5L2#6
2L1 · trough#4
27Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
0Foul points12
136Total score195

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3928
#11
49.42.5
43.546.0
Auto11.7
Teleop31.8
End5.9
blue by 8.1
57.53.1
50.353.4
Auto16.7
Teleop35.4
End5.3
Second
4021
#44
21.12.5
20.222.7
Auto3.7
Teleop14.2
End3.2
blue by 22.4
43.55.1
32.938.0
Auto6.4
Teleop28.9
End8.2
Third
3723
#46
20.34.1
15.119.2
Auto5.1
Teleop13.1
End2.1
blue by 19.0
5442
#15
39.33.1
34.837.9
Auto7.9
Teleop27.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed34%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned53%Barge oddsEarned