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Red76
906123.6
591431.5
753128.1
Blue78
1047618.1
495924.4
327524.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10181501502007678

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
0Teleop0
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave0
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points9
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +14
10Coral scored#12
35Coral points43
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
53Total teleop67
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#4
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
0Cage & park2
0Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
76Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5914
#48
31.51.7
26.424.7
Auto6.3
Teleop22.3
End3.0
red by 6.6
3275
#42
24.90.7
26.625.9
Auto3.8
Teleop17.9
End3.2
Second
7531
#36
28.12.6
30.527.9
Auto7.0
Teleop19.6
End1.5
red by 3.7
4959
#30
24.40.7
26.926.3
Auto3.9
Teleop17.0
End3.4
Third
9061
#33
23.62.6
26.023.5
Auto6.9
Teleop14.9
End1.9
red by 5.5
18.11.0
19.518.5
Auto3.2
Teleop15.0
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsMissed