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Red128
639139.9
283937.0
955132.0
Blue119
944520.5
392849.4
178533.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113107050150200250300128119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+3Teleop
+3Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave6
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points3
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +8
17Coral scored#19
60Coral points70
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#2
12Processor points18
16Net points8
28Algae points26
88Total teleop96
Reef
8L4#5
4L3#8
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
6Foul points0
128Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.91.3
40.041.3
Auto8.7
Teleop27.2
End3.9
blue by 9.6
3928
#11
49.41.5
46.047.4
Auto11.7
Teleop31.8
End5.9
Second
2839
#14
37.01.3
34.736.0
Auto4.6
Teleop30.9
End1.6
red by 3.1
1785
#24
33.91.5
29.130.6
Auto3.7
Teleop25.2
End5.0
Third
9551
#29
32.01.3
27.829.1
Auto6.3
Teleop23.6
End2.1
red by 11.5
9445
#28
20.51.5
22.223.6
Auto2.2
Teleop13.2
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsEarned