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Red44
957015.2
645511.1
426013.3
Blue135
16758.1
754143.5
802424.2
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43139010015020044135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+79
Endgame+89
Fouls+91
AutonomousBlue +24
3Leave9
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points24
9Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +55
5Coral scored#12
19Coral points42
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#6
6Processor points18
4Net points24
10Algae points42
29Total teleop84
Reef
1L4#6
2L3#5
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +91
0Foul points2
44Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9570
#32
15.20.3
15.114.8
Auto4.1
Teleop9.2
End1.8
blue by 43.0
167
#2
58.11.1
50.551.6
Auto20.1
Teleop36.0
End2.1
Second
4260
#51
13.30.5
14.013.5
Auto1.6
Teleop11.2
End0.5
blue by 30.2
43.51.7
38.039.7
Auto6.4
Teleop28.9
End8.2
Third
6455
#50
11.10.5
14.313.8
Auto3.8
Teleop6.2
End1.1
blue by 13.1
8024
#19
24.21.1
22.823.9
Auto5.2
Teleop14.1
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed85%Barge oddsEarned