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Red121
504128.4
957647.4
527522.1
Blue98
784839.7
453931.1
87669.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1139540608012014016018012198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+15Teleop
+25Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +8
14Coral scored#13
51Coral points47
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
79Total teleop71
Reef
7L4#6
4L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points2
121Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.40.9
45.246.1
Auto9.8
Teleop29.8
End7.9
red by 7.7
7848
#23
39.70.4
38.038.4
Auto7.4
Teleop24.3
End8.1
Second
5041
#17
28.41.4
27.629.0
Auto5.2
Teleop17.5
End5.8
blue by 2.7
4539
#34
31.10.4
31.431.9
Auto3.8
Teleop23.3
End4.1
Third
5275
#37
22.11.4
22.724.1
Auto3.8
Teleop15.4
End3.0
red by 12.5
8766
#40
9.60.7
11.111.8
Auto4.1
Teleop3.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsEarned