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Red124
162551.0
557614.7
64827.1
Blue77
877018.3
402121.1
641923.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104795015012477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+23Teleop
+45Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
2Coral scored#3
11Coral points13
20Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +16
13Coral scored#12
48Coral points44
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#1
12Processor points12
16Net points4
28Algae points16
76Total teleop60
Reef
6L4#7
5L3#3
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#18
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
2Foul points0
124Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1625
#12
51.02.5
45.648.1
Auto9.2
Teleop33.0
End8.9
red by 27.3
6419
#45
23.80.2
24.224.0
Auto4.9
Teleop16.9
End2.0
Second
648
#25
27.11.6
26.828.4
Auto5.4
Teleop15.2
End6.5
red by 6.0
4021
#44
21.10.2
22.722.4
Auto3.7
Teleop14.2
End3.2
Third
5576
#22
14.71.6
12.814.4
Auto2.5
Teleop10.9
End1.3
blue by 3.6
8770
#38
18.30.3
18.518.1
Auto3.5
Teleop15.2
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed