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Red189
957922.6
170683.4
544239.3
Blue115
52547.1
950820.4
464657.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147141050100200250300350400189115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+62Teleop
+74Endgame
+74Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
7Coral scored#6
34Coral points30
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +55
26Coral scored#15
94Coral points53
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
18Processor points12
24Net points16
42Algae points28
136Total teleop81
Reef
12L4#9
7L3#6
10L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
42Game pieces#27
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +74
0Foul points0
189Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.42.9
73.376.2
Auto21.7
Teleop51.3
End10.4
red by 25.9
57.52.0
53.451.4
Auto16.7
Teleop35.4
End5.3
Second
5442
#15
39.32.9
37.940.7
Auto7.9
Teleop27.9
End3.5
blue by 7.8
525
#7
47.12.0
47.345.3
Auto8.4
Teleop35.2
End3.6
Third
9579
#43
22.64.5
19.223.7
Auto3.6
Teleop17.9
End1.1
red by 2.2
9508
#35
20.43.1
26.022.9
Auto4.9
Teleop12.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
76%Coral oddsEarned40%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsMissed