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Red170
283937.0
908234.0
331353.1
Blue51
645511.1
495924.4
642027.6
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138725010015020025017051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+97Teleop
+101Endgame
+119Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave0
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points9
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +76
14Coral scored#6
50Coral points20
4Processor algae#1
8Net algae#1
24Processor points6
32Net points4
56Algae points10
106Total teleop30
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#2
4L2#1
5L1 · trough#1
32Game pieces#10
BargeRed +4
16Cage & park12
16Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +119
18Foul points0
170Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.11.8
46.548.3
Auto13.7
Teleop32.2
End7.2
red by 25.5
6420
#10
27.61.9
30.328.4
Auto4.7
Teleop15.3
End7.6
Second
2839
#14
37.01.8
36.037.8
Auto4.6
Teleop30.9
End1.6
red by 12.6
4959
#30
24.41.9
26.324.4
Auto3.9
Teleop17.0
End3.4
Third
9082
#13
34.01.8
33.835.6
Auto5.2
Teleop26.3
End2.5
red by 22.9
6455
#50
11.12.7
13.811.1
Auto3.8
Teleop6.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsMissed