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Red46
87669.6
64827.1
944520.5
Blue109
392849.4
327524.9
909249.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59145010020046109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+55
Endgame+65
Fouls+63
AutonomousBlue +20
3Leave0
2Coral scored#6
9Coral points32
12Total auto32
TeleoperatedBlue +35
4Coral scored#13
14Coral points45
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
18Total teleop53
Reef
3L4#9
1L3#4
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +63
2Foul points0
46Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
648
#25
27.11.3
28.427.1
Auto5.4
Teleop15.2
End6.5
blue by 22.6
49.71.0
50.849.8
Auto11.8
Teleop28.1
End9.8
Second
9445
#28
20.51.3
23.622.3
Auto2.2
Teleop13.2
End5.1
blue by 28.9
3928
#11
49.41.0
47.446.4
Auto11.7
Teleop31.8
End5.9
Third
8766
#40
9.61.9
11.89.9
Auto4.1
Teleop3.7
End1.8
blue by 15.3
3275
#42
24.91.0
25.924.9
Auto3.8
Teleop17.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned85%Barge oddsEarned