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Red72
957922.6
1043917.3
453931.1
Blue172
591431.5
162551.0
16758.1
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions781475010020072172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+78
Endgame+88
Fouls+100
AutonomousBlue +25
9Leave0
1Coral scored#7
3Coral points37
12Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +53
12Coral scored#23
44Coral points81
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#5
6Processor points6
4Net points20
10Algae points26
54Total teleop107
Reef
5L4#14
4L3#7
2L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +100
0Foul points12
72Total score172

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4539
#34
31.10.7
31.931.1
Auto3.8
Teleop23.3
End4.1
blue by 27.0
167
#2
58.11.8
51.653.4
Auto20.1
Teleop36.0
End2.1
Second
9579
#43
22.61.1
23.722.6
Auto3.6
Teleop17.9
End1.1
blue by 28.4
1625
#12
51.02.6
48.150.6
Auto9.2
Teleop33.0
End8.9
Third
17.31.1
18.417.3
Auto5.3
Teleop10.5
End1.5
blue by 14.2
5914
#48
31.51.8
24.726.5
Auto6.3
Teleop22.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed79%Barge oddsEarned