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Red82
544239.3
527522.1
402121.1
Blue108
882127.4
583733.1
504128.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1071059010011012082108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+32
Endgame+20
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +25
12Coral scored#19
43Coral points68
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
57Total teleop82
Reef
4L4#7
5L3#7
3L2#6
1L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#25
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points6
82Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5442
#15
39.31.3
40.739.4
Auto7.9
Teleop27.9
End3.5
red by 6.2
5837
#21
33.10.1
32.932.9
Auto5.7
Teleop25.0
End2.4
Second
5275
#37
22.11.9
24.122.1
Auto3.8
Teleop15.4
End3.0
blue by 6.3
5041
#17
28.40.1
29.029.1
Auto5.2
Teleop17.5
End5.8
Third
4021
#44
21.11.3
22.421.1
Auto3.7
Teleop14.2
End3.2
blue by 6.4
8821
#26
27.40.0
27.427.4
Auto4.0
Teleop22.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsMissed78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsMissed