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Red145
462444.1
485924.4
464657.5
Blue102
957647.4
639139.9
950820.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1341256080100160180200145102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+61Teleop
+49Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
5Coral scored#5
25Coral points24
34Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +54
16Coral scored#11
59Coral points41
4Processor algae#0
6Net algae#3
24Processor points0
24Net points12
48Algae points12
107Total teleop53
Reef
7L4#4
7L3#6
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points6
145Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.51.0
51.452.5
Auto16.7
Teleop35.4
End5.3
red by 10.0
47.41.7
46.144.4
Auto9.8
Teleop29.8
End7.9
Second
4624
#18
44.11.0
43.844.9
Auto8.0
Teleop34.5
End1.6
red by 4.2
39.91.7
41.339.6
Auto8.7
Teleop27.2
End3.9
Third
4859
#39
24.41.5
22.924.4
Auto4.0
Teleop18.4
End2.0
red by 4.0
9508
#35
20.42.5
22.920.4
Auto4.9
Teleop12.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsMissed94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
27%Coral oddsEarned32%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsEarned