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Red176
957647.4
178533.9
392849.4
Blue142
544239.3
955132.0
909249.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136132110120140150160170176142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+36Teleop
+36Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave3
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points22
19Total auto25
TeleoperatedRed +42
28Coral scored#16
101Coral points57
3Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
18Processor points12
8Net points16
26Algae points28
127Total teleop85
Reef
14L4#8
5L3#5
7L2#5
5L1 · trough#2
36Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +34
4Foul points6
176Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3928
#11
49.41.0
47.949.0
Auto11.7
Teleop31.8
End5.9
blue by 0.3
49.70.4
49.349.7
Auto11.8
Teleop28.1
End9.8
Second
47.41.0
46.047.0
Auto9.8
Teleop29.8
End7.9
red by 8.1
5442
#15
39.30.4
38.939.3
Auto7.9
Teleop27.9
End3.5
Third
1785
#24
33.91.0
32.533.5
Auto3.7
Teleop25.2
End5.0
red by 1.9
9551
#29
32.00.4
31.632.0
Auto6.3
Teleop23.6
End2.1