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Red79
753128.1
639139.9
162551.0
Blue125
642027.6
283937.0
462444.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13711710015020079125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+32
Endgame+46
Fouls+46
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave0
2Coral scored#2
11Coral points9
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +43
13Coral scored#21
47Coral points76
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
57Total teleop100
Reef
5L4#9
5L3#6
3L2#6
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points0
79Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1625
#12
51.01.3
52.351.0
Auto9.2
Teleop33.0
End8.9
red by 7.0
4624
#18
44.10.4
44.244.5
Auto8.0
Teleop34.5
End1.6
Second
39.91.0
40.839.9
Auto8.7
Teleop27.2
End3.9
red by 2.8
2839
#14
37.00.4
37.137.5
Auto4.6
Teleop30.9
End1.6
Third
7531
#36
28.11.3
29.428.1
Auto7.0
Teleop19.6
End1.5
red by 0.5
6420
#10
27.60.4
27.828.1
Auto4.7
Teleop15.3
End7.6