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Red39
387117.6
997820.4
99956.2
Blue60
99979.4
909238.6
641920.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions447201001502002503003960

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+25
Endgame+21
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave6
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +15
4Coral scored#7
16Coral points25
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
20Total teleop35
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#12
BargeRed +4
10Cage & park6
10Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points0
39Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9978
#10
20.41.0
12.611.6
Auto5.2
Teleop13.1
End1.9
blue by 18.2
38.61.4
49.748.3
Auto10.0
Teleop24.5
End4.1
Second
3871
#12
17.60.7
23.022.3
Auto4.2
Teleop10.9
End2.6
blue by 3.2
20.81.4
18.717.3
Auto8.1
Teleop12.0
End0.7
Third
9995
#16
6.21.0
12.611.6
Auto2.2
Teleop3.0
End0.7
blue by 3.2
9997
#11
9.42.3
12.610.3
Auto3.4
Teleop3.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsMissed