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Red89
99875.3
392850.5
504125.9
Blue43
64814.1
642023.6
96730.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119990501502002508943

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+48Teleop
+46Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave0
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +42
10Coral scored#5
37Coral points17
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
12Processor points6
24Net points8
36Algae points14
73Total teleop31
Reef
6L4#2
3L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points0
89Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.50.5
51.951.4
Auto8.9
Teleop33.1
End8.6
red by 19.7
967
#17
30.83.2
42.239.0
Auto3.1
Teleop20.7
End7.1
Second
25.90.5
32.031.5
Auto5.2
Teleop17.3
End3.5
red by 2.3
6420
#13
23.63.2
27.624.4
Auto4.4
Teleop12.9
End6.4
Third
9987
#14
5.30.8
12.611.8
Auto0.1
Teleop3.8
End1.1
blue by 8.7
648
#8
14.13.2
21.418.2
Auto3.4
Teleop7.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsMissed62%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsMissed89%Barge oddsMissed