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Red54
387117.6
99979.4
64814.1
Blue117
641920.8
957014.2
198776.2
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3513505010015020025054117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+26
Teleop+69
Endgame+71
Fouls+63
AutonomousBlue +26
6Leave9
1Coral scored#6
6Coral points29
12Total auto38
TeleoperatedBlue +43
4Coral scored#11
16Coral points39
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
0Processor points12
4Net points12
4Algae points24
20Total teleop63
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#4
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
6Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +63
8Foul points0
54Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3871
#12
17.60.7
23.823.1
Auto4.2
Teleop10.9
End2.6
blue by 58.6
76.20.4
75.676.0
Auto17.0
Teleop49.1
End10.2
Second
648
#8
14.10.7
18.317.6
Auto3.4
Teleop7.8
End2.9
blue by 6.8
20.80.4
21.321.7
Auto8.1
Teleop12.0
End0.7
Third
9997
#11
9.41.2
14.513.3
Auto3.4
Teleop3.9
End1.8
blue by 4.8
14.20.4
13.914.3
Auto5.3
Teleop6.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed62%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned88%Barge oddsEarned