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Red94
392850.5
642023.6
99875.3
Blue62
99956.2
96730.8
909238.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10197607080901101201309462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+12Teleop
+32Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
3Leave0
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points12
20Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +4
9Coral scored#10
32Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
50Total teleop46
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#14
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points0
94Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.50.4
51.051.4
Auto8.9
Teleop33.1
End8.6
red by 11.9
38.61.9
46.244.3
Auto10.0
Teleop24.5
End4.1
Second
6420
#13
23.60.4
28.929.3
Auto4.4
Teleop12.9
End6.4
blue by 7.2
967
#17
30.81.9
35.733.9
Auto3.1
Teleop20.7
End7.1
Third
9987
#14
5.30.6
8.38.9
Auto0.1
Teleop3.8
End1.1
blue by 0.8
9995
#16
6.23.1
8.04.9
Auto2.2
Teleop3.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned65%Barge oddsMissed