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Red121
504125.9
16760.7
387117.6
Blue87
464657.1
997820.4
1043912.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1348705010015020025012187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+36Teleop
+30Endgame
+34Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
6Coral scored#7
30Coral points33
33Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +36
18Coral scored#8
66Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
76Total teleop40
Reef
10L4#4
6L3#4
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
26Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +6
8Cage & park14
8Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
4Foul points0
121Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167
#2
60.70.0
62.262.2
Auto20.5
Teleop38.0
End2.3
red by 3.7
57.10.0
54.454.4
Auto14.4
Teleop36.0
End6.7
Second
25.90.0
31.831.8
Auto5.2
Teleop17.3
End3.5
red by 5.5
9978
#10
20.40.0
22.222.3
Auto5.2
Teleop13.1
End1.9
Third
3871
#12
17.60.0
23.123.1
Auto4.2
Teleop10.9
End2.6
red by 4.8
12.90.0
10.110.1
Auto4.1
Teleop8.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
25%Coral oddsEarned21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsEarned