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Red96
64814.1
641920.8
392850.5
Blue75
96730.8
957014.2
997820.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105670501502009675

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+21Teleop
+21Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave3
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points9
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +10
10Coral scored#8
35Coral points27
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
6Processor points12
16Net points8
22Algae points20
57Total teleop47
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#4
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points0
96Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.50.4
51.451.7
Auto8.9
Teleop33.1
End8.6
red by 19.7
967
#17
30.80.3
33.934.2
Auto3.1
Teleop20.7
End7.1
Second
20.80.4
21.722.1
Auto8.1
Teleop12.0
End0.7
red by 0.4
9978
#10
20.40.5
22.322.8
Auto5.2
Teleop13.1
End1.9
Third
648
#8
14.10.4
17.618.0
Auto3.4
Teleop7.8
End2.9
blue by 0.1
14.20.3
14.314.6
Auto5.3
Teleop6.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned11%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsEarned