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Red56
99875.3
99979.4
16760.7
Blue73
957014.2
504125.9
1043912.9
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions895301001505673

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+15
Endgame+15
Fouls+17
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points12
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +22
6Coral scored#11
23Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
33Total teleop55
Reef
5L4#6
1L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points2
56Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167
#2
60.71.9
62.260.3
Auto20.5
Teleop38.0
End2.3
red by 34.8
25.91.0
31.832.8
Auto5.2
Teleop17.3
End3.5
Second
9997
#11
9.43.2
13.310.2
Auto3.4
Teleop3.9
End1.8
blue by 4.8
14.21.0
14.615.6
Auto5.3
Teleop6.6
End2.4
Third
9987
#14
5.33.2
8.95.8
Auto0.1
Teleop3.8
End1.1
blue by 7.5
12.91.0
10.111.1
Auto4.1
Teleop8.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsMissed