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Red109
99979.4
198776.2
96730.8
Blue126
464657.1
997820.4
909238.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126130050100150200250109126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+25
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +13
9Leave0
2Coral scored#6
10Coral points32
19Total auto32
TeleoperatedBlue +12
16Coral scored#17
58Coral points60
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
76Total teleop88
Reef
7L4#7
5L3#7
4L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#29
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
109Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.20.9
78.877.9
Auto17.0
Teleop49.1
End10.2
red by 19.1
57.10.3
57.257.5
Auto14.4
Teleop36.0
End6.7
Second
967
#17
30.80.9
34.233.2
Auto3.1
Teleop20.7
End7.1
blue by 7.8
38.60.3
41.842.1
Auto10.0
Teleop24.5
End4.1
Third
9997
#11
9.41.5
10.28.7
Auto3.4
Teleop3.9
End1.8
blue by 11.0
9978
#10
20.40.4
22.823.2
Auto5.2
Teleop13.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed26%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsMissed