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Red49
1043912.9
99875.3
64814.1
Blue33
99956.2
642023.6
504125.9
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33770501001504933

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+18Teleop
+10Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +21
5Coral scored#2
18Coral points7
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
28Total teleop7
Reef
3L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#0
7Game pieces#3
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
6Foul points0
49Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
648
#8
14.10.5
18.018.5
Auto3.4
Teleop7.8
End2.9
blue by 11.8
25.92.4
32.830.3
Auto5.2
Teleop17.3
End3.5
Second
12.90.5
11.111.7
Auto4.1
Teleop8.5
End0.3
blue by 10.8
6420
#13
23.62.4
26.824.4
Auto4.4
Teleop12.9
End6.4
Third
9987
#14
5.30.8
5.86.6
Auto0.1
Teleop3.8
End1.1
blue by 0.8
9995
#16
6.23.7
9.55.8
Auto2.2
Teleop3.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsMissed64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsEarned