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Red36
641920.8
387117.6
99875.3
Blue175
392850.5
16760.7
464657.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36194010015025030035036175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+35
Teleop+121
Endgame+139
Fouls+139
AutonomousBlue +35
0Leave9
2Coral scored#7
9Coral points35
9Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +86
3Coral scored#21
11Coral points77
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
0Processor points12
8Net points16
8Algae points28
19Total teleop105
Reef
2L4#13
2L3#5
1L2#7
0L1 · trough#3
7Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +18
8Cage & park26
8Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +139
0Foul points0
36Total score175

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.80.9
22.121.2
Auto8.1
Teleop12.0
End0.7
blue by 39.9
167
#2
60.70.4
60.360.6
Auto20.5
Teleop38.0
End2.3
Second
3871
#12
17.60.9
20.619.7
Auto4.2
Teleop10.9
End2.6
blue by 39.4
57.10.4
57.557.8
Auto14.4
Teleop36.0
End6.7
Third
9987
#14
5.31.3
6.65.3
Auto0.1
Teleop3.8
End1.1
blue by 45.2
50.50.4
51.752.1
Auto8.9
Teleop33.1
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed65%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed71%Barge oddsEarned