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Red78
464657.1
99875.3
387117.6
Blue34
99956.2
1043912.9
641920.8
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115320501001502007834

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+38Teleop
+44Endgame
+44Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points7
13Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +38
10Coral scored#3
35Coral points11
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
53Total teleop15
Reef
5L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#5
BargeRed +6
12Cage & park6
12Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
0Foul points0
78Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.10.6
52.952.3
Auto14.4
Teleop36.0
End6.7
red by 36.2
20.80.5
17.316.7
Auto8.1
Teleop12.0
End0.7
Second
3871
#12
17.60.6
22.321.7
Auto4.2
Teleop10.9
End2.6
red by 4.8
12.90.6
13.012.4
Auto4.1
Teleop8.5
End0.3
Third
9987
#14
5.31.0
11.810.8
Auto0.1
Teleop3.8
End1.1
blue by 0.8
9995
#16
6.20.9
11.610.7
Auto2.2
Teleop3.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed