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Red106
504125.9
96730.8
464657.1
Blue141
957014.2
909238.6
198776.2
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134162050100150200250106141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+23
Teleop+45
Endgame+35
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +23
9Leave3
1Coral scored#7
4Coral points33
13Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +22
13Coral scored#19
45Coral points67
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
6Processor points6
16Net points16
22Algae points22
67Total teleop89
Reef
4L4#9
6L3#10
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#31
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points0
106Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.11.1
52.351.2
Auto14.4
Teleop36.0
End6.7
blue by 19.1
76.20.3
73.874.1
Auto17.0
Teleop49.1
End10.2
Second
967
#17
30.81.1
39.037.9
Auto3.1
Teleop20.7
End7.1
blue by 7.8
38.60.3
48.348.6
Auto10.0
Teleop24.5
End4.1
Third
25.91.1
31.530.4
Auto5.2
Teleop17.3
End3.5
red by 11.7
14.20.3
14.114.5
Auto5.3
Teleop6.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsMissed95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed35%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned