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Red78
504125.9
642023.6
997820.4
Blue139
387117.6
64814.1
198776.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6713205010015020025030078139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+57
Endgame+61
Fouls+61
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points14
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +46
12Coral scored#23
43Coral points81
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
53Total teleop99
Reef
5L4#13
4L3#6
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +4
16Cage & park20
16Total endgame20
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +61
0Foul points0
78Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.90.4
30.430.8
Auto5.2
Teleop17.3
End3.5
blue by 50.3
76.21.9
74.176.0
Auto17.0
Teleop49.1
End10.2
Second
6420
#13Sur
23.60.4
26.226.6
Auto4.4
Teleop12.9
End6.4
red by 6.0
3871
#12Sur
17.61.9
21.723.5
Auto4.2
Teleop10.9
End2.6
Third
9978
#10
20.40.7
15.316.0
Auto5.2
Teleop13.1
End1.9
red by 6.4
648
#8
14.11.9
15.417.2
Auto3.4
Teleop7.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed26%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned91%Barge oddsEarned