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Red55
641920.8
957014.2
99956.2
Blue80
909238.6
642023.6
997820.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35900501001502005580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
Teleop+23
Endgame+25
Fouls+25
AutonomousRed +2
3Leave9
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points9
20Total auto18
TeleoperatedBlue +25
5Coral scored#10
17Coral points36
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
31Total teleop56
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#4
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points0
55Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.80.3
20.520.8
Auto8.1
Teleop12.0
End0.7
blue by 17.8
38.60.0
37.837.8
Auto10.0
Teleop24.5
End4.1
Second
14.20.3
13.914.2
Auto5.3
Teleop6.6
End2.4
blue by 9.4
6420
#13
23.60.0
22.822.8
Auto4.4
Teleop12.9
End6.4
Third
9995
#16
6.20.4
5.76.2
Auto2.2
Teleop3.0
End0.7
blue by 14.3
9978
#10
20.40.0
19.419.4
Auto5.2
Teleop13.1
End1.9