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Red188
99979.4
464657.1
198776.2
Blue119
909238.6
642023.6
997820.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15772050100200250300188119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+26Auto
+65Teleop
+75Endgame
+69Fouls
AutonomousRed +26
6Leave9
8Coral scored#3
42Coral points13
48Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +39
26Coral scored#15
94Coral points55
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
12Processor points12
8Net points8
20Algae points20
114Total teleop75
Reef
13L4#8
10L3#5
6L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
38Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +69
0Foul points6
188Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.21.1
74.775.9
Auto17.0
Teleop49.1
End10.2
red by 37.6
38.60.7
37.938.6
Auto10.0
Teleop24.5
End4.1
Second
57.11.1
55.656.7
Auto14.4
Teleop36.0
End6.7
red by 33.4
6420
#13
23.60.7
22.923.6
Auto4.4
Teleop12.9
End6.4
Third
9997
#11
9.41.5
7.59.0
Auto3.4
Teleop3.9
End1.8
blue by 11.0
9978
#10
20.41.0
19.520.4
Auto5.2
Teleop13.1
End1.9