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Red84
909238.6
642023.6
997820.4
Blue68
96730.8
504125.9
64814.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions857402040601001201408468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+16Teleop
+14Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
3Leave9
3Coral scored#0
15Coral points0
18Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +7
13Coral scored#12
46Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
60Total teleop53
Reef
7L4#4
4L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +16
2Foul points0
84Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.60.0
37.837.9
Auto10.0
Teleop24.5
End4.1
red by 7.8
967
#17
30.80.1
30.930.8
Auto3.1
Teleop20.7
End7.1
Second
6420
#13
23.60.0
22.822.9
Auto4.4
Teleop12.9
End6.4
blue by 2.3
25.90.1
26.025.9
Auto5.2
Teleop17.3
End3.5
Third
9978
#10
20.40.1
19.419.5
Auto5.2
Teleop13.1
End1.9
red by 6.4
648
#8
14.10.1
14.114.1
Auto3.4
Teleop7.8
End2.9