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Red190
35983.9
385922.7
212263.7
Blue158
304568.6
324540.5
281354.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions182171120140160200220240190158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+10Teleop
+20Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave3
7Coral scored#7
35Coral points37
44Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +6
18Coral scored#16
66Coral points56
3Processor algae#3
6Net algae#7
18Processor points18
24Net points28
42Algae points46
108Total teleop102
Reef
10L4#10
7L3#7
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#33
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +32
12Foul points0
190Total score158

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#1
83.90.2
83.383.5
Auto19.0
Teleop51.4
End13.5
red by 15.2
68.60.1
69.169.0
Auto17.8
Teleop43.9
End6.9
Second
63.70.2
63.163.3
Auto16.3
Teleop37.0
End10.4
red by 9.6
54.10.1
54.654.4
Auto8.2
Teleop35.0
End10.8
Third
3859
#16
22.70.2
22.122.3
Auto8.0
Teleop13.5
End1.2
blue by 17.9
3245
#38
40.50.1
41.040.9
Auto10.9
Teleop27.9
End1.7