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Red196
35983.9
385922.7
212263.7
Blue148
304568.6
324540.5
281354.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions182170120140160200220240196148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+28Teleop
+38Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave3
8Coral scored#5
38Coral points23
44Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +10
20Coral scored#17
72Coral points62
2Processor algae#4
8Net algae#5
12Processor points24
32Net points20
44Algae points44
116Total teleop106
Reef
12L4#12
6L3#5
5L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
38Game pieces#31
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +48
10Foul points0
196Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#1
83.90.4
83.583.9
Auto19.0
Teleop51.4
End13.5
red by 15.2
68.60.4
69.068.6
Auto17.8
Teleop43.9
End6.9
Second
63.70.4
63.363.7
Auto16.3
Teleop37.0
End10.4
red by 9.6
54.10.4
54.454.1
Auto8.2
Teleop35.0
End10.8
Third
3859
#16
22.70.4
22.322.7
Auto8.0
Teleop13.5
End1.2
blue by 17.9
3245
#38
40.50.4
40.940.5
Auto10.9
Teleop27.9
End1.7