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Red143
1044815.7
636439.3
304568.6
Blue69
1039513.8
587114.1
648745.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1197305010015014369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+16Auto
+56Teleop
+66Endgame
+74Fouls
AutonomousRed +16
9Leave9
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points4
29Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +40
12Coral scored#8
44Coral points30
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#1
12Processor points6
24Net points4
36Algae points10
80Total teleop40
Reef
7L4#3
3L3#2
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#11
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +74
8Foul points0
143Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.61.6
59.961.5
Auto17.8
Teleop43.9
End6.9
red by 23.4
6487
#13
45.20.5
35.034.5
Auto11.2
Teleop27.1
End6.9
Second
6364
#24
39.32.1
27.329.4
Auto10.2
Teleop24.3
End4.8
red by 25.2
5871
#51
14.10.6
16.315.7
Auto2.4
Teleop9.7
End2.0
Third
15.74.8
15.720.5
Auto5.7
Teleop8.5
End1.5
red by 1.9
13.83.4
13.817.2
Auto5.0
Teleop4.8
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
17%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsEarned