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Red93
973715.8
156623.1
304568.6
Blue115
330945.3
417533.8
459826.6
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110765010015020093115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+4Teleop
Endgame+4
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave6
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points24
26Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +8
13Coral scored#10
47Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
61Total teleop53
Reef
4L4#7
5L3#4
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points18
93Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.60.2
61.561.3
Auto17.8
Teleop43.9
End6.9
red by 23.3
45.31.5
38.740.2
Auto13.9
Teleop23.4
End8.1
Second
1566
#44
23.10.3
15.415.1
Auto4.5
Teleop16.2
End2.3
blue by 10.7
4175
#17
33.81.5
22.924.4
Auto5.9
Teleop22.7
End5.1
Third
9737
#31
15.80.3
18.718.4
Auto2.2
Teleop11.6
End2.0
blue by 10.8
4598
#22
26.61.7
12.614.3
Auto5.5
Teleop19.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
40%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsEarned