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Red130
636439.3
883937.3
189124.9
Blue119
789527.1
944916.4
635838.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8667050100150130119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+29Teleop
+17Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave0
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +33
24Coral scored#18
85Coral points66
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
117Total teleop84
Reef
9L4#7
6L3#6
6L2#4
5L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points6
130Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6364
#24
39.33.3
29.432.7
Auto10.2
Teleop24.3
End4.8
red by 1.0
6358
#32
38.34.1
24.528.6
Auto6.9
Teleop27.8
End3.6
Second
8839
#33
37.34.4
22.526.9
Auto5.7
Teleop30.5
End1.1
red by 10.2
7895
#23
27.12.4
19.021.4
Auto4.8
Teleop19.6
End2.7
Third
1891
#27
24.92.7
19.121.8
Auto3.6
Teleop17.6
End3.6
red by 8.5
9449
#37
16.42.7
12.615.3
Auto3.7
Teleop11.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsEarned