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Red144
888519.9
324540.5
114853.5
Blue193
35983.9
281354.1
593323.0
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10414850200144193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+39
Endgame+49
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave3
6Coral scored#7
30Coral points34
33Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +35
20Coral scored#29
73Coral points104
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
97Total teleop132
Reef
7L4#15
11L3#7
4L2#9
4L1 · trough#5
31Game pieces#42
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points0
144Total score193

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.52.4
39.341.6
Auto9.7
Teleop36.9
End6.9
blue by 30.3
359
#1
83.93.3
73.877.1
Auto19.0
Teleop51.4
End13.5
Second
3245
#38
40.52.1
40.042.1
Auto10.9
Teleop27.9
End1.7
blue by 13.5
54.13.3
42.645.9
Auto8.2
Teleop35.0
End10.8
Third
8885
#47
19.92.1
18.720.8
Auto3.7
Teleop12.9
End3.3
blue by 3.1
5933
#30
23.03.3
13.016.4
Auto4.6
Teleop17.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned27%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned