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Red81
1039513.8
69659.8
213021.7
Blue69
39938.3
328811.9
639030.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11066501001502008169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+16Teleop
+6Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave6
5Coral scored#0
27Coral points0
27Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +5
7Coral scored#11
26Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
44Total teleop49
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
6Foul points0
81Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#6
59.81.6
52.450.8
Auto13.3
Teleop43.4
End3.1
red by 21.6
399
#35
38.30.4
32.332.7
Auto4.1
Teleop29.2
End5.0
Second
2130
#18
21.72.1
24.822.6
Auto5.8
Teleop11.0
End4.9
blue by 8.5
6390
#43
30.20.4
20.320.7
Auto7.5
Teleop20.8
End1.9
Third
13.82.1
17.215.1
Auto5.0
Teleop4.8
End4.0
red by 2.0
3288
#48
11.90.4
11.111.4
Auto2.3
Teleop4.8
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsEarned