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Red98
833818.0
212263.7
964918.3
Blue99
972615.5
648745.2
494439.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90964060801201401609899

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+37Teleop
+35Endgame
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave3
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points6
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +23
14Coral scored#7
51Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
61Total teleop38
Reef
8L4#3
2L3#2
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points36
98Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.71.2
55.256.3
Auto16.3
Teleop37.0
End10.4
red by 18.4
6487
#13
45.22.0
34.532.6
Auto11.2
Teleop27.1
End6.9
Second
9649
#42
18.31.3
14.315.6
Auto2.9
Teleop13.4
End2.1
blue by 20.9
4944
#14
39.21.5
32.230.8
Auto4.4
Teleop29.5
End5.3
Third
8338
#46
18.01.3
11.112.4
Auto4.2
Teleop11.9
End1.9
red by 2.5
9726
#25
15.52.5
18.315.9
Auto1.6
Teleop12.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsEarned