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Red104
904430.5
546124.8
763417.2
Blue40
366925.9
19232.1
924310.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5573010015020010440

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+42Teleop
+52Endgame
+64Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points10
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +42
14Coral scored#4
52Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
62Total teleop20
Reef
4L4#3
5L3#1
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#7
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +64
12Foul points0
104Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.53.2
22.826.0
Auto6.3
Teleop19.7
End4.5
blue by 1.5
192
#15
32.11.4
19.518.2
Auto4.9
Teleop23.3
End3.9
Second
5461
#11
24.82.9
11.714.6
Auto5.3
Teleop15.5
End4.0
blue by 1.0
3669
#41
25.92.3
22.219.9
Auto5.2
Teleop15.0
End5.6
Third
7634
#26
17.22.9
13.716.6
Auto2.9
Teleop11.4
End2.8
red by 6.3
9243
#49
10.92.3
18.916.6
Auto3.5
Teleop5.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed