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Red127
189124.9
281354.1
304568.6
Blue25
213021.7
328811.9
875614.8
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1523705010020025012725

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+88Teleop
+102Endgame
+102Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
3Leave3
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points3
26Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +68
16Coral scored#4
57Coral points13
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
12Processor points0
16Net points4
28Algae points4
85Total teleop17
Reef
9L4#1
5L3#2
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#6
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +102
0Foul points0
127Total score25

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3045
#2Sur
68.60.3
61.361.0
Auto17.8
Teleop43.9
End6.9
red by 47.0
2130
#18Sur
21.72.4
22.620.2
Auto5.8
Teleop11.0
End4.9
Second
54.10.3
45.945.6
Auto8.2
Teleop35.0
End10.8
red by 39.2
8756
#50
14.82.4
12.810.3
Auto1.5
Teleop13.3
End0.0
Third
1891
#27
24.90.3
21.821.4
Auto3.6
Teleop17.6
End3.6
red by 13.0
3288
#48
11.91.5
11.410.0
Auto2.3
Teleop4.8
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
25%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsMissed