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Red59
324540.5
972615.5
39938.3
Blue152
459826.6
494439.2
855.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9798608012014059152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+83
Endgame+93
Fouls+93
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points17
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +66
9Coral scored#23
31Coral points83
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
6Processor points12
12Net points20
18Algae points32
49Total teleop115
Reef
3L4#8
2L3#8
2L2#6
2L1 · trough#4
13Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +93
0Foul points0
59Total score152

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3245
#38
40.52.3
42.139.8
Auto10.9
Teleop27.9
End1.7
blue by 15.1
8
#10
55.63.7
45.749.4
Auto15.0
Teleop34.0
End6.6
Second
399
#35
38.32.3
32.730.4
Auto4.1
Teleop29.2
End5.0
blue by 0.9
4944
#14
39.23.7
30.834.4
Auto4.4
Teleop29.5
End5.3
Third
9726
#25Sur
15.53.9
15.912.0
Auto1.6
Teleop12.2
End1.7
blue by 11.1
4598
#22
26.63.7
14.318.0
Auto5.5
Teleop19.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsEarned