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Red49
964918.3
593323.0
931418.0
Blue92
789527.1
114853.5
973715.8
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5010201504992

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+37
Endgame+39
Fouls+43
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +34
6Coral scored#13
20Coral points48
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
6Processor points12
4Net points4
10Algae points16
30Total teleop64
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
8Foul points12
49Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5933
#30
23.00.4
16.415.9
Auto4.6
Teleop17.6
End0.7
blue by 30.6
53.50.1
41.641.5
Auto9.7
Teleop36.9
End6.9
Second
9649
#42
18.30.4
15.615.2
Auto2.9
Teleop13.4
End2.1
blue by 8.8
7895
#23
27.10.1
21.421.3
Auto4.8
Teleop19.6
End2.7
Third
9314
#45
18.00.7
15.314.6
Auto4.2
Teleop11.4
End2.4
red by 2.2
9737
#31
15.80.2
18.418.2
Auto2.2
Teleop11.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed