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Red73
944916.4
546124.8
300654.4
Blue176
212263.7
69659.8
321649.1
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6817105010015020025073176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+93
Endgame+103
Fouls+103
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave6
3Coral scored#6
16Coral points31
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +72
8Coral scored#22
29Coral points79
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#7
12Processor points18
12Net points28
24Algae points46
53Total teleop125
Reef
4L4#8
3L3#11
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#5
16Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +103
0Foul points0
73Total score176

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.41.1
39.338.2
Auto13.1
Teleop33.6
End7.6
blue by 9.3
63.70.4
56.356.7
Auto16.3
Teleop37.0
End10.4
Second
5461
#11
24.81.1
14.613.4
Auto5.3
Teleop15.5
End4.0
blue by 35.0
696
#6
59.80.5
50.851.3
Auto13.3
Teleop43.4
End3.1
Third
9449
#37
16.41.1
15.314.2
Auto3.7
Teleop11.6
End1.1
blue by 32.7
3216
#28
49.10.4
37.638.0
Auto9.1
Teleop37.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed84%Barge oddsEarned