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Red79
1044815.7
385922.7
330945.3
Blue85
883937.3
156929.4
366925.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions907940601001207985

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +13
9Leave9
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points4
26Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +21
6Coral scored#12
23Coral points44
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
37Total teleop58
Reef
5L4#5
2L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
79Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.30.1
40.240.3
Auto13.9
Teleop23.4
End8.1
red by 8.0
8839
#33
37.31.9
26.928.9
Auto5.7
Teleop30.5
End1.1
Second
3859
#16
22.70.1
17.017.0
Auto8.0
Teleop13.5
End1.2
blue by 6.7
1569
#20
29.41.2
20.721.9
Auto4.8
Teleop19.7
End4.9
Third
15.70.1
20.921.0
Auto5.7
Teleop8.5
End1.5
blue by 10.1
3669
#41
25.91.9
19.921.9
Auto5.2
Teleop15.0
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsEarned