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Red59
924310.9
68727.7
259427.4
Blue75
19232.1
587114.1
833818.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72520204060801001201405975

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+14
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +20
8Coral scored#12
27Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
45Total teleop65
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
59Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
687
#29
27.70.3
25.925.6
Auto6.2
Teleop17.7
End3.8
blue by 4.4
192
#15
32.11.8
18.219.9
Auto4.9
Teleop23.3
End3.9
Second
2594
#12
27.40.3
21.220.9
Auto4.8
Teleop19.6
End3.1
red by 9.4
8338
#46
18.01.8
12.414.2
Auto4.2
Teleop11.9
End1.9
Third
9243
#49
10.90.5
16.616.1
Auto3.5
Teleop5.7
End1.7
blue by 3.2
5871
#51
14.13.0
17.820.8
Auto2.4
Teleop9.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsMissed