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Red103
417533.8
1039513.8
635838.3
Blue119
35983.9
763417.2
855116.4
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68135050100150200103119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+14
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +24
3Leave3
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points27
6Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +10
17Coral scored#12
61Coral points43
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
6Processor points18
16Net points12
22Algae points30
83Total teleop73
Reef
4L4#5
7L3#4
3L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
103Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6358
#32
38.32.6
28.631.2
Auto6.9
Teleop27.8
End3.6
blue by 45.6
359
#1
83.90.4
77.176.7
Auto19.0
Teleop51.4
End13.5
Second
4175
#17
33.81.6
24.426.0
Auto5.9
Teleop22.7
End5.1
red by 16.6
7634
#26
17.20.4
16.616.3
Auto2.9
Teleop11.4
End2.8
Third
13.82.6
15.117.7
Auto5.0
Teleop4.8
End4.0
blue by 2.5
8551
#39
16.40.6
19.619.0
Auto5.0
Teleop9.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned82%Barge oddsEarned