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Red63
328811.9
259427.4
636439.3
Blue86
546124.8
459826.6
385922.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions745002040601001201401606386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+39
Endgame+27
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points14
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +32
5Coral scored#12
17Coral points43
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
25Total teleop57
Reef
2L4#4
3L3#4
1L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#18
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
6Foul points2
63Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6364
#24
39.30.5
34.033.5
Auto10.2
Teleop24.3
End4.8
red by 12.6
4598
#22
26.62.4
18.020.3
Auto5.5
Teleop19.1
End2.0
Second
2594
#12
27.40.5
20.920.4
Auto4.8
Teleop19.6
End3.1
red by 2.6
5461
#11
24.82.4
13.415.8
Auto5.3
Teleop15.5
End4.0
Third
3288
#48
11.90.5
10.09.5
Auto2.3
Teleop4.8
End4.8
blue by 10.8
3859
#16
22.72.4
17.019.4
Auto8.0
Teleop13.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsMissed